This week Michael Abrash, Facebook's chief scientist of Oculus Research, has been boldly telling us that Facebook's bold mixed/augmented reality smartglasses won't arrive until 2022.
It seems that 2017 isn't the year we will see mainstream AR smartglasses but hey, it is the year we'll talk about it a lot.
"Despite all the attention focused on AR today it will be five years at best before we're really at the start of the ramp to widespread, glasses-based augmented reality, before AR has its Macintosh moment," Abrash said at Facebook's F8 conference, going further than Zuck this week.
He also looked even further into the future when it came to predicting how wearable-based computing might infiltrate our lives: "20 or 30 years from now, I predict that instead of carrying stylish smartphones everywhere, we'll wear stylish glasses. Those glasses will offer VR, AR and everything in between and we'll use them all day."
So that's AR glasses going mainstream in five years and replacing the smartphone in 20 to 30 years. Exciting but also a waiting game for those of who are ready like, now.
Analysts like CCS Insight are predicting smartglasses sales of around two million by 2021 which supports the idea that we'll actually be able to buy viable devices but does seem a little low for a shift in how we interact with computers.
Source: Business Insider